Analysis of Future Development of Building Materials Industry

"China's building materials industry in 2030 "innovation and improvement, beyond the lead" development strategy (hereinafter referred to as "strategy") has been released in Beijing a few days ago. This new strategy was formed on the basis of careful analysis of the domestic and international environment and challenges facing the development of China's building materials industry in the next 20 years, and clearly put forward the strategic thinking and objectives, strategic tasks, and strategies for the development of China's building materials industry from 2010 to 2030. Approaches, strategic priorities, and strategic initiatives will point the way for the development of China's building materials industry in the next 20 years. In this regard, this article has explained the specific content of the "strategy."

At present, the characteristics of the “big but not strong” building materials industry in China have been greatly improved, and it has entered the stage of “larger and stronger”. China National Building Material Industry Association recently proposed "China's building materials industry in 2030, innovation and improvement, beyond the lead" development strategy, clear the 2010-2030 development of building materials industry, the strategic ideas and objectives, strategic tasks and approaches, strategic priorities and initiatives.

A. The core strategic and coexistence challenge of traditional building materials The “strategy” predicts that the absolute amount of traditional building materials will continue to increase for a considerable period of time, but the growth rate will decrease year by year, and there will be a real demand transition period around 2020. In the next few years, it will be the key period and transition period for the upgrading and restructuring of the building materials industry. It will also be a critical period for opening up and developing emerging industries and new materials, and to fully prepare for the transition of demand growth. During this period, the building materials industry will face four major challenges and four major opportunities.

The export situation of building materials products is severe. The competition between the developed countries and emerging countries in the development of the real economy will be fiercer. The implementation of the internationalization strategy for the building materials industry in China and the export strategy for building materials products and engineering services will likely be challenged and impacted. The developed countries and the world’s top building materials companies have strong advantages in technology, information, management and brand. With the integration of world economy, science and technology, and information, the future competition is mainly in the high-tech field, at the level of added value, and Competing on the level of innovation will pose a severe challenge to the comprehensive capabilities of domestic building materials companies.

Changes in market demand and structural adjustment of economic growth will be the strategic direction for China to accelerate the transformation of economic development. China will regard expanding consumer demand as a strategic task of adjusting and stimulating economic development, and will rely solely on the investment-driven development approach to rely on consumption, investment, and exports as a whole to jointly promote economic development.

At present, the building materials industry as a whole is still in a stage of development driven mainly by investment, relying on resources, energy, capital, and other factors of production inputs, and the contradiction between the excess of the total amount of traditional building materials products is prominent. Under the background that the economic growth structure gradually increases the proportion of consumption. Depending on the existing development methods and existing technologies and products, it cannot adapt to new changes in demand. Effectively responding to changes in market demand, meeting the needs of increasing consumer demand, changing production methods, and adding new products will be major challenges for the development of the building materials industry.

Energy-saving green is facing new requirements The party’s *** clearly puts forward the requirements for the construction of ecological civilization, and the people-oriented scientific development concept to improve the living conditions of urban and rural residents and improve the quality of living environment. Realization through the reform and progress of the construction industry has become a contemporary indisputable fact. The development of building materials industry and the upgrading of products must comply with the requirements of industrialization, modernization, and green energy saving. To achieve green development, multi-functional and high-quality, energy-saving, environmental protection, safety, comfort and health of a variety of high-quality building materials products, will become the mainstay of the development of building materials industry and the mainstream. This is a daunting challenge for the building materials industry, which has a small number of products, a single function, and high energy consumption.

The development approach urgently needs to be transformed. The building materials industry itself has changed its development mode lagging behind, and it lacks new technologies and new products, lacks funding and policy support, and faces many challenges.

To achieve transformation and upgrading, the building materials industry still needs to further accelerate the pace of industrial restructuring, replace advanced technologies with outdated technologies, accelerate the development of processed products, increase production concentration, accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries and new materials, and achieve structural adjustment and industrial upgrading.

At the same time, the self-innovation ability of the building materials industry is relatively weak, with less independent intellectual property rights and insufficient technology reserves. There is a lack of technical leadership in the transformation and upgrading. At present, enterprises are far from becoming the main body of technological progress. Some of the common, forward-looking, basic and key technical issues concerning the development of the industry lack technology integration and lack effective solutions.

In terms of expanding and extending industrial development, the building materials industry not only serves the construction industry, but also is an important carrier for the construction industry, playing a leading and supporting role in the construction industry. The development of the building materials industry must not only obey and serve the development of the construction industry, but also innovate technology, guide the reform of architectural design and construction, and develop in the same way. At the same time, it will adapt to the development of industries such as electronics, telecommunications, transportation tools, military industries, and new energy sources, and will expand and expand its development areas to actively respond to market challenges.

With the advanced level of technical equipment, in the face of challenges, there are also four major opportunities for the development of the building materials industry in the future. The technology and equipment of the building materials industry has approached or reached the world's advanced level, laying a solid foundation for the development of a strategy of overtaking and leading.

China's building materials industry has achieved great development and progress. The level of production technology and equipment in the major industries has approached or reached the world's advanced level. The scale of the industry and the output of major products have maintained rapid growth. Significant progress has been made in the adjustment of industrial structure, and the quality of products and energy efficiency have been continuously improved. The degree of internationalization has improved, and the appearance of “big but not strong” has changed. This has laid a solid foundation for the modernization of the building materials industry and for the building of a powerful building material world.

The shift in the focus of global economic development to shifting the focus of global economic development has brought new development opportunities to China's building materials industry. In the next 20 years, the global economy will continue to grow at an average annual rate of more than 3%. The developed countries in Europe and America have already experienced large-scale construction. The focus of economic development is not on the demand for building materials. The building materials industry is no longer the focus of its future development, but the growth rate of emerging economies and developing countries will be higher than the average growth rate in the world. Faster and faster growth.

Developing economies, especially emerging economies, will become the main driver of global economic growth. The focus of economic development in the future will shift from developed countries to emerging economies. The characteristics of economic development in emerging economies are characterized by meeting basic construction and basic production and living needs as the main support for economic development, and increasing the demand for building materials and inorganic non-metallic new materials will be further focused on developing countries and emerging economies. National and regional transfers.

Scientific and Technological Progress Provides Driving Forces The rapid progress of world science and technology has provided a tremendous driving force for China's building materials industry. With the continuous expansion of future information science and technology in the economic and social fields, integrated, intelligent, and flexible advanced manufacturing technologies will provide a huge driving force for the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry, including the building materials industry.

With the gradual emergence of global energy and environmental issues, new energy technologies such as solar energy, wind energy, biomass energy, and nuclear energy have become important development directions. New energy technologies and energy-saving, advanced environmental protection, comprehensive utilization of resources and other environmental protection technologies include building materials. The development of related industries, including the industry, brings a lot of space.

With the advancement of social science and technology and the development of emerging industries, new material technologies will become an important part of the development of science and technology, and breakthroughs in nanoscience and technology will bring deep technical **. The development of new material technology can not be separated from the support of the relevant new materials industry in the building materials field, which will create a huge market space for the development of building materials and new materials industry.

Demand has entered a steady growth period In the next 20 years, China will still be in a critical period of accelerating its modernization and an important period of strategic opportunities. The *** report puts forward: “Adhere to the path of new-type industrialization, informatization, urbanization, and agricultural modernization with Chinese characteristics, and promote information. The deep integration of industrialization and industrialization, the positive interaction between industrialization and urbanization, and the coordination of urbanization and agricultural modernization will promote the simultaneous development of industrialization, informatization, urbanization and agricultural modernization." The steady progress of the “New Four Trends” will drive the domestic economy to maintain steady and rapid growth, and provide a new market space for the steady development of the building materials industry.

With the promotion of new industrialization, the process of new urbanization will continue to advance. By 2030, more than 10 million people will still be transferred to cities and towns each year, which will drive the construction of the whole society's housing and infrastructure to a large scale, and will produce building materials. Continual market demand.

B, 20 years to achieve innovation to enhance beyond the core to promote the next 20 years China's building materials industry development strategy is: "innovation to enhance, beyond the lead." While the building materials industry is catching up, some of the major industries will occupy the high ground of the world's building materials industry. While creating innovations, they will also create a leading production and management efficiency model for the global building materials industry. They will enhance their discourse on the international market as they promote and develop. With its power and influence, it has become a building material powerhouse leading the development of the world's building materials industry.

2020 to achieve innovation and improvement According to the Building Materials Federation predicted that by 2020, China's total output value of building materials industry labor productivity reached 1.35 million yuan / person or more. The physical labor productivity of the cement manufacturing industry has reached 3,500 tons/person or more. Flat glass manufacturing industry's physical labor productivity reached 9500 weight boxes/person or more.

At that time, remarkable adjustments have been made in the industrial organization structure. The production concentration has been greatly improved. The production concentration of the top 10 cement companies has reached 60%, and the production concentration of the top 10 float glass companies has reached 80%. Various industries have formed a group of world-renowned and industry-leading enterprises, with 2 to 3 companies entering the top 500 in the world. The added value of emerging industries and processed products accounts for more than 50% of the industry's added value.

The annual R&D input of key industries and key enterprises in the industry accounts for about 3% to 5% of total operating revenue. Major breakthroughs have been made in the development of technologies and products for strategic emerging industries, inorganic non-metallic new materials, and new types of green building wall materials. The business scale accounts for half of the industry's added value, and the unit energy consumption and environmental protection indicators are 30% of traditional building materials. the following. Building materials, waste, environmental protection, and new industries have made major breakthroughs in technology and industrial R&D, application, and policies, resulting in the industrialization of waste.

In terms of energy saving and environmental protection goals, by 2020, the energy consumption of industrial value-added of building materials industry will be reduced by about 35% to 40% compared with 2010, and the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of industrial added value will be reduced by about 35% compared with 2010, and the major pollutant dioxide* emissions. The total amount is reduced by about 18%, the total amount of nitrogen oxide emissions is reduced by about 30%, and the total utilization of industrial solid wastes is increased by about 35%.

China's major building materials companies will occupy a certain market share in the international market. Some large enterprises have investments and entities in the international building materials market. The Chinese building materials industry has a seat and a voice in various organizations in the world building materials industry. In the export trade and economic cooperation, a multi-layered and diversified international development pattern of integration of industry, trade and trade is formed.

By 2030, beyond 2030, China's building materials industry will develop into a modern raw material and product industry with international leadership capability, innovation ability and strong market competitiveness. The proportion of building materials processing products and emerging industries in the entire industry will increase significantly. About 70% of the major industries have the ability to surpass and lead the development of the world building materials industry, and they are large and powerful, and have become a building material powerhouse that leads and influences the development of the building materials industry in the world.

By then, the productivity of the total output value of the building materials industry will reach 2.35 million yuan/person. The cement labor productivity reached 5,500 tons/person. Flat glass manufacturing industry's physical labor productivity reached 14,500 weight boxes/person or more.

In terms of industrial structure, the production concentration of the top 10 cement companies reached more than 80%, and the production concentration of the top 10 float glass companies reached more than 90%. There are 5~6 building materials companies in the world's top 500 companies; leading enterprises with leading industries have become the world's leading companies in related industries or fields; they have a number of key products and famous brands with independent intellectual property rights. Emerging industries have achieved diversified development. Common basic materials, new functional materials, strategic emerging industry supporting materials, energy-saving and environmental protection materials, and green building wall materials have become the focus of the industry's development and growth. By 2030, the added value of emerging industries and processed products accounted for about 70% of the industry's added value.

The annual R&D input of major industries and key enterprises in the building materials industry accounts for 4% to 6% of total revenue. The technological and equipment, production, operation and management of major industries such as cement, flat glass, building and sanitary ceramics, fiberglass, and new wall materials have reached the world's leading level. Emerging industries, inorganic non-metal industries, and energy-saving and environmental-friendly materials supporting emerging industries will reach the world's advanced level.

The building materials industry will greatly enhance the degree of ecological civilization in the industry. Major industries and numerous building materials companies will basically achieve cleaner production, and energy efficiency and pollutant emissions will reach the international advanced level.

The international competitiveness will be comprehensively enhanced. The building materials industry will have the advantages and capabilities of global allocation of resources, the ability to interact and complement each other in both the domestic and international markets, and the key technologies and key equipment for the major industries that play a leading role in industrial development. , key materials, high-end products can account for about 30% of the global share.

In the future, the development mode will change completely, and the building materials industry will strive to achieve the four transitions of development methods and achieve a complete transformation of economic development.

The main source of future growth of the building materials industry will shift from investment-driven to increasing consumption and export ratios to form a “three-in-one” development mode with more moderate growth in investment, consumption, and export growth.

The development approach should be changed from the production of raw materials to the raw materials and products industry, emerging industries, and processing industries, and it should be accelerated by the development of new industries and product industries. The shift from mid-range and mid- to low-end products should be changed to increase low energy consumption. , low-carbon green-based high-end products, boutique and high value-added products.

The business model and management method are transformed from the extensive model of resource and energy consumption and the pollution of the environment to the green and intensive business model of resources, energy efficiency and environment, eco-friendly, centered on improving quality and efficiency.

The development layout and market structure change from the domestic production and domestic consumption pattern to the domestic and international markets. The main industries have a certain amount of production capacity and market share in foreign countries. Development layout and market structure .

While transforming the mode of development, the building materials industry will achieve three breakthroughs in the development pattern: breaking through the development pattern of traditional building materials production, focusing on the development of new industries, inorganic non-metallic new materials, and new types of green energy-saving building materials. Breakthrough, the proportion of its value added beyond the traditional building materials industry. Breakthroughs in building material product standards, production and construction market application segmentation pattern, the formation of a building material product development and production and construction industry design, construction and application of a mutually win-win development pattern. Break through the pattern that large enterprises and big groups have not yet achieved absolute advantages in terms of productivity distribution and production concentration, and lay the foundation for industrial organizations in order to comprehensively improve international competitiveness and resources and energy efficiency.

C. The core product of traditional products and new materials is all-embracing. The president of the China Building Materials Federation, Qiao Longde pointed out at this year's economic operation analysis meeting that traditional materials have experienced excess capacity, and currently, the building materials industry has seen a large increase, except for technical glass. The main ones are light building materials, concrete products, bricks and tiles, and stone materials, which are at best the extension and deep processing of traditional building materials products. What really needs to be worried and what is most important is that the development of emerging industries, new materials, and inorganic non-metallic new materials is not yet on the right track. In the future, the development of traditional industries and new material industries must be realized.

Accelerating the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries In the next 20 years, the building materials industry will enter the world beyond the pursuit of advanced technologies. Technology, economic efficiency, and resource efficiency must lead. To do this, we must speed up the overall upgrading of traditional industries to achieve transformation and upgrading. Contemporary and Future New Technology Transformation and Upgrading of Traditional Industries. Innovating the development of the second generation of new dry process cements and the second generation of float glass is the beginning. All industries must upgrade and reform with the latest technology of the era.

Traditional industries will focus on extending the industrial chain structure. The potential for creating value in every link of the industry chain is not the same. In the future, the value of the products produced by the building materials industry will increasingly come from the extension of industries and services. As far as possible, it will form two extensions and mutual infiltration and cooperation with related industries.

In the development of processed products, the building materials industry will adhere to the concept of “big cement” and accelerate the development of cement deep processing industries such as ready-mixed concrete, ready-mixed mortar, cement concrete building components and engineering precasts, and accelerate the development of the glass deep processing industry. The wall materials will focus on the development of composite multifunctional walls, and actively develop new types of building wall cladding materials integrating lightweight, high-strength and energy saving, fire prevention, earthquake resistance, environmental protection, thermal insulation, waterproof, sound insulation, and decoration. Roofing material.

Accelerate the development of new materials The building materials industry will increase the development of new materials technology and equipment, form a scale operation, strengthen the development of special glass, special ceramics, special inorganic non-metallic materials, new energy-saving green building materials, high-performance composite materials, artificial crystals, The production and application of non-metallic mineral material products and deep processing technologies and equipment break through the bottleneck of key material preparation and equipment technology, and occupy more shares in strategic industrial fields such as energy conservation and environmental protection, new energy, information industry, new materials, and defense and military industry. And market.

At the same time, speed up the development of inorganic non-metallic new materials and non-ore deep processing products. To meet the needs of the development of new industries such as the defense industry, high-tech, new energy, and new materials, the building materials industry will focus on the needs of strategic emerging industries, supported by industrial technological advancement, and be technologically advanced, with strong innovation capabilities and strong strength. Based on good corporate leadership, develop high-purity quartz powder synthesis and optical fiber preform preparation technology, glass fiber infiltration agent technology, high-temperature continuous anaerobic atmosphere kiln production technology and superhard material preparation technologies; develop new high-performance, multi-functional And structural materials and products, promote the development of inorganic non-metallic new materials and non-ore deep processing products industry.

The building materials industry will also accelerate the development of waste and environmental protection industries, actively promote the use of cement kilns for the co-processing of municipal solid waste, sludge, and industrial hazardous waste, and promote the industrialization and large-scale operation of comprehensive utilization of construction waste, combining coal bases and coal chemical bases. The construction of large-scale thermal power plants will establish a comprehensive utilization project for the use of coal gangue, fly ash and calcium carbide slag to produce cement and wall materials, and further increase the level of comprehensive utilization of resources.

In respect of new energy-saving and environmental-friendly industries, the building materials industry will actively promote the integration of the building materials industry with energy-saving and environmental protection industries, develop new energy-saving and environmentally-friendly building materials for building materials, and apply technologies, equipment, and products for energy-saving, environmental-friendly industries such as high-efficiency, energy-saving, advanced environmental protection, and recycling of resources. In the development of the building materials industry, we will further promote the application of energy-saving and environmental protection technologies and products to the environmental governance of the market and building materials industry.

Promote the green development of building materials The green development of building materials industry should focus on promoting the construction of ecological civilization, achieving energy-saving emission reduction, comprehensive utilization of resources and cleaner production, taking the development of circular economy as the main channel, and building the green building material industry system as the development goal.

Promote advanced production technology and energy-saving technologies, and implement energy-saving emission reduction technology transformation. The cement industry has promoted the decomposition technology of the new dry process cement kilns, promoted the pure low-temperature waste heat power generation technology of cement kilns, developed carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, and promoted energy conservation and emission reduction to a new level. The flat glass industry focuses on the promotion of the comprehensive utilization technology of the waste heat of the melting kilns, the oxy-combustion technology, the preheating technology of the batch materials, the de-NOx technology of the flue gas, etc., and achieve breakthroughs and improvements in energy conservation and emission reduction. At the same time, the development of recycling economy, improve the level of comprehensive utilization of resources, and strive to develop green energy-saving building materials, and strive to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.