Will the photovoltaic industry gradually take a downturn and be cloudy?

In recent years, affected by multiple unfavorable factors, the development of China's photovoltaic industry has encountered unprecedented difficulties. In 2012, the government introduced a series of incentive policies, vigorously expand the domestic market space, optimize the export structure, and let China's photovoltaic industry gradually take the bottom, from “cloudy” to “sunny”. In 2013, the installed capacity of solar power was 14.79 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 3.4 times. This year, driven by the further launch of the domestic PV market, China's photovoltaic industry boom is expected to continue to rise.

Installed year-on-year growth

"The increase in the total installed capacity can represent the overall trend of the photovoltaic industry." Wang Zhongying, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, told reporters.

The data shows that in 2013, the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation reached 12 million kilowatts, and the cumulative installed capacity reached 18 million kilowatts. As of the end of 2013, the total installed capacity of power generation in the country reached 1.247 billion kilowatts, an increase of 9.3% year-on-year, of which the installed capacity of grid-connected solar power generation was 14.79 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 3.4 times.

Wang Zhongying pointed out that compared with the total installed capacity of photovoltaics in the past two years, it can be seen that in 2013, China's photovoltaic industry gradually took a low point and showed a recovery growth.

The economic situation of photovoltaic equipment and its components manufacturing industry has obviously improved. Since 2012, the revenue and profit growth of photovoltaic equipment and its components manufacturing industry have continued to rise, and the loss of photovoltaic enterprises has also been slightly reduced. In 2013, the main revenue and total profit of photovoltaic equipment and its component manufacturing industry were 34.69 billion yuan and 8.97 billion yuan, respectively, up 13.0% and 279.9% year-on-year, respectively. The growth rate was 26.6 percentage points and 379.1 higher than that of 2012. Percentage points.

Affected by policy guidance and market adjustment, the previous disorderly development of the domestic PV industry was restrained, some of the backward production capacity began to withdraw, and the pace of mergers and acquisitions of enterprises accelerated. Data show that in 2013, China's top 10 PV companies accounted for 23.6% of the industry's total sales, the top 50 sales accounted for 63.6%, and industrial development gradually concentrated in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Jiangxi, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Hebei and other regions. .

The business conditions of the company have also improved. The number of polysilicon-producing enterprises has increased from 7 at the beginning of the year to 15 at the end of the year. Most of the key battery companies have turned losses into profits, and some companies have turned their full-year net profit.

Policy support

China's photovoltaic industry is facing an unprecedented dilemma, which is related to heavy dependence on exports. Experts said that in the overall situation of the global PV market, China's PV industry has achieved recovery growth, which is inseparable from the government's successive policies.

Over the past year or so, the Chinese government has intensively introduced 18 new PV policies, and has greatly expanded the domestic market space. A series of master plans and special opinions were issued, and a number of distributed solar energy projects quickly landed in China, which greatly promoted the development of the domestic application market for solar power generation.

"In 2013, China's PV industry relied heavily on the export market and there was no fundamental change, but the optimization of export structure brought a turning point in the development of the industry." Wang Zhongying said.

The reporter learned from the Strategic Emerging Industry Research Group of the National Information Center that in 2013, China's exports of solar photovoltaic cells and modules were US$12.29 billion, down 18.0% year-on-year, of which exports to Europe were US$3.72 billion. A sharp drop of 62.0%, the market share dropped sharply to 30.3%, accounting for only about one-third of China's export market; and exports to the Asian market was US$5.5 billion, a substantial increase of 124.3% year-on-year, accounting for 44.8% of my export market. It has become the largest market for PV exports in China. At the same time, the export volume to African countries was US$ 570 million, a year-on-year increase of 387.1%, making it the fastest growing emerging market for solar PV cells.

It can be seen that the photovoltaic products exported to emerging markets such as Asia-Pacific are growing rapidly. China's photovoltaic industry has got rid of the relatively single external demand pattern, and the optimization of export structure has greatly reduced the external market risks faced by China's PV companies.

Overall good

In 2014, with the further launch of the domestic PV market and the stabilization of the export market, China's PV industry as a whole will continue to improve. The relevant person in charge of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that although the overall situation of China's PV industry development has improved, there are still problems and deficiencies in key technologies, policy refinements, and trade environment. The loss of domestic PV manufacturing industry has not changed fundamentally. Faced with the risk of deep adjustment.

At present, most enterprises in China adopt a vertically integrated production mode. Core equipment and major raw materials rely on imports for a long time. The difference in production lines is small, the products lack innovation, and there is still a certain gap between industrial technology and foreign advanced level. Therefore, technological innovation has become The main problem that needs to be broken now is urgent.

In the development of distributed photovoltaic power plants, they should also be applied according to local conditions. Each region has its own characteristics and learns from foreign excellent experience. Wang Zhongying introduced: “For example, 90% of Germany is distributed power generation. It can be considered that the power station near the load center is built at the low-voltage power distribution terminal, so that the city can generate electricity quickly, but some areas prefer to build centralized power stations, which is better. To save costs, it is more appropriate to apply the distribution according to the characteristics of the region.

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