The northern hemisphere will welcome the "Millennium Extreme Cold" this winter. Although it has not been generally recognized in science, it has caused waves in the coal market. In the past few days, the coal price from the spot market to the capital market has seen a large increase. . Market analysts believe that this year's domestic coal prices have entered the rising channel ahead of schedule, and there will be a tight supply of coal in some areas. Hot money speculation should attract the attention of relevant departments.
In fact, every winter, China's coal supply is facing a tight situation. From December 2009 to January this year, coal prices rose sharply, and the country's coal supply was tight. However, this year's price hikes have come a little earlier. In the stock market, the coal sector has become the biggest hot spot after the National Day holiday, and it has always been at the forefront of net capital inflows.
In terms of spot, according to the statistics of Qinhuangdao Coal Network, the coal price of power plants in East China increased by RMB 10/ton yesterday. As the wind vane of China's coal market, the coal price of Qinhuangdao Port has remained stable for several weeks, but last week, various types of thermal coal in the port showed an increase of 10 yuan/ton, and the rebound momentum was strong.
Ren Haoning, a researcher in the energy industry of China Investment Consulting, believes that although the “Millennium Extreme Cold†has not yet become a reality, some northern city heating companies have already started the storage of coal for heating in winter, which has increased coal demand in a short period of time. The coal market has been destocked in the second half of September to October. At present, the inventory of major ports has experienced a significant decline. “This year domestic coal prices have entered an upswing early.â€
Lin Boqiang, director of the China Energy Economic Research Center of Xiamen University, pointed out that coal accounts for about 70% of China's energy consumption structure. The situation of tight coal supply in winter has not been solved for many years. The transportation problem is the main bottleneck. "This winter is compared with previous years. The coal storage and transportation conditions have not improved much."
Zhang Yulin, research director of China Investment Consulting, believes that the “Millennium Extreme Cold†is likely to be the target of hot money speculation. There are already signs that some forces are linking this concept with commodities such as coal to create a market-friendly speculation. The atmosphere, "man-made coal supply and demand tension, raising the price of the coal market should be brought to the attention of the relevant government departments."
In fact, every winter, China's coal supply is facing a tight situation. From December 2009 to January this year, coal prices rose sharply, and the country's coal supply was tight. However, this year's price hikes have come a little earlier. In the stock market, the coal sector has become the biggest hot spot after the National Day holiday, and it has always been at the forefront of net capital inflows.
In terms of spot, according to the statistics of Qinhuangdao Coal Network, the coal price of power plants in East China increased by RMB 10/ton yesterday. As the wind vane of China's coal market, the coal price of Qinhuangdao Port has remained stable for several weeks, but last week, various types of thermal coal in the port showed an increase of 10 yuan/ton, and the rebound momentum was strong.
Ren Haoning, a researcher in the energy industry of China Investment Consulting, believes that although the “Millennium Extreme Cold†has not yet become a reality, some northern city heating companies have already started the storage of coal for heating in winter, which has increased coal demand in a short period of time. The coal market has been destocked in the second half of September to October. At present, the inventory of major ports has experienced a significant decline. “This year domestic coal prices have entered an upswing early.â€
Lin Boqiang, director of the China Energy Economic Research Center of Xiamen University, pointed out that coal accounts for about 70% of China's energy consumption structure. The situation of tight coal supply in winter has not been solved for many years. The transportation problem is the main bottleneck. "This winter is compared with previous years. The coal storage and transportation conditions have not improved much."
Zhang Yulin, research director of China Investment Consulting, believes that the “Millennium Extreme Cold†is likely to be the target of hot money speculation. There are already signs that some forces are linking this concept with commodities such as coal to create a market-friendly speculation. The atmosphere, "man-made coal supply and demand tension, raising the price of the coal market should be brought to the attention of the relevant government departments."
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